US recession by end of 2026?
$1.7M volNo—
89.5%
Yes—
10.5%
Economy⏱ closes in 6mo
US recession by end of 2026?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions is met: 1. The seasonally adjusted annualized percent change in quarterly U.S. real GDP from the previous quarter is less than 0.0 for two consecutive quarters between Q2 2025 and Q4 2026 (inclusive), as reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysi…
24h volume
$703
Total volume
$1.7M
Liquidity
$22.0K
Markets
1
31. Jan. 2027
BusinessEconomyEconomic PolicyMacro Graph
📊Markets and probabilities
How to read
The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the 24-hour change in percentage points (pp).