July 31
$174.3K volNo—
80.5%
Yes—
19.5%
Politics⏱ closes in 23d
US announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a memorandum of understanding ending the immediate conflict and establishing a 60-day framework for negotiating a final agreement. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government, or an authorized representative of the United States government, p…
24h volume
$128.8K
Total volume
$245.6K
Liquidity
$57.9K
Markets
3
31. Juli 2026
IranTrumpPoliticsAgreementPeace DealGeopoliticsMiddle EastU.S. x Iran
📊Markets and probabilities
June 30
$43.6K volNo—
100.0%
Yes—
0.0%
June 26
$27.6K volNo—
100.0%
Yes—
0.0%
How to read
The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the 24-hour change in percentage points (pp).