Negative GDP growth in 2026?
$29.1K volNo—
91.0%
Yes—
8.9%
Economy⏱ closes in 6mo
Negative GDP growth in 2026?
This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP growth rate for the full year 2026, as derived from the 'Advance Estimate' for Q4 2026, with a release by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) expected in January 2027, reports a growth rate below 0. Otherwise, this market will resolv…
24h volume
$438
Total volume
$29.1K
Liquidity
$5.2K
Markets
1
29. Jan. 2027
GDPMacro SingleEconomyMacro Indicators
📊Markets and probabilities
How to read
The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the 24-hour change in percentage points (pp).