Politics⏱ closes in 5mo

Iran leader end of 2026?

This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at…

24h volume

$793.6K

Total volume

$19.0M

Liquidity

$1.9M

Markets

123

31. Dez. 2026

Middle EastIranWorldGeopoliticsPoliticsIran RegimeRewards 50, 4.5, 100 Deprec

📊Markets and probabilities

Mojtaba Khamenei

$3.0M vol

Yes—

82.7%

No—

17.3%

Alireza Arafi

$2.1M vol

No—

98.7%

Yes—

1.4%

Hassan Khomeini

$1.2M vol

No—

99.4%

Yes—

0.7%

Mohammad Khatami

$1.1M vol

No—

99.9%

Yes—

0.1%

No Head of State

$991.9K vol

No—

97.5%

Yes—

2.5%

Mahmoud Ahmadinejad

$950.9K vol

No—

99.8%

Yes—

0.3%

Masoud Pezeshkian

$791.3K vol

No—

99.1%

Yes—

0.9%

Hassan Rouhani

$765.0K vol

No—

99.6%

Yes—

0.4%

Maryam Rajavi

$700.4K vol

No—

99.8%

Yes—

0.3%

Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf

$692.1K vol

No—

96.9%

Yes—

3.1%

Abbas Araghchi

$626.7K vol

No—

98.9%

Yes—

1.1%

Ahmad Vahidi

$506.9K vol

No—

99.3%

Yes—

0.8%

Sadegh Larijani

$493.3K vol

No—

99.8%

Yes—

0.3%

Mostafa Pourmohammadi

$457.1K vol

No—

99.8%

Yes—

0.2%

Seyed Hossein Mousavian

$408.0K vol

No—

99.7%

Yes—

0.3%

Muhammad Mirbaqiri

$396.8K vol

No—

99.8%

Yes—

0.3%

Reza Pahlavi

$389.9K vol

No—

96.6%

Yes—

3.4%

Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel

$388.7K vol

No—

99.9%

Yes—

0.1%

Massoud Rajavi

$364.4K vol

No—

99.8%

Yes—

0.3%

Ali Asghar Hejazi

$316.2K vol

No—

99.8%

Yes—

0.3%

Hassan Shariatmadari

$277.5K vol

No—

99.8%

Yes—

0.3%

Ahmad Hosseini Khorasani

$269.6K vol

No—

99.9%

Yes—

0.1%

Mohsen Araki

$239.2K vol

No—

99.9%

Yes—

0.1%

Ali Larijani

$236.9K vol

No—

100.0%

Yes—

0.0%

Ali Motahari

$224.6K vol

No—

99.8%

Yes—

0.3%

Nasir Hosseini

$212.5K vol

No—

99.9%

Yes—

0.1%

Sadegh Mahsouli

$205.6K vol

No—

99.9%

Yes—

0.1%

Navid Shomali

$180.1K vol

No—

99.8%

Yes—

0.3%

Saeed Jalili

$167.3K vol

No—

99.8%

Yes—

0.3%

Mustafa Hijri

$140.0K vol

No—

99.9%

Yes—

0.1%

Reza Pirzadeh

$115.4K vol

No—

99.8%

Yes—

0.3%

aq

$0 vol

Prices not yet synced

ar

$0 vol

Prices not yet synced

as

$0 vol

Prices not yet synced

at

$0 vol

Prices not yet synced

au

$0 vol

Prices not yet synced

av

$0 vol

Prices not yet synced

aw

$0 vol

Prices not yet synced

ax

$0 vol

Prices not yet synced

ay

$0 vol

Prices not yet synced

az

$0 vol

Prices not yet synced

ba

$0 vol

Prices not yet synced

bb

$0 vol

Prices not yet synced

bc

$0 vol

Prices not yet synced

bd

$0 vol

Prices not yet synced

be

$0 vol

Prices not yet synced

bf

$0 vol

Prices not yet synced

bg

$0 vol

Prices not yet synced

bh

$0 vol

Prices not yet synced

bi

$0 vol

Prices not yet synced

bj

$0 vol

Prices not yet synced

bk

$0 vol

Prices not yet synced

bl

$0 vol

Prices not yet synced

bm

$0 vol

Prices not yet synced

bn

$0 vol

Prices not yet synced

bo

$0 vol

Prices not yet synced

bp

$0 vol

Prices not yet synced

bq

$0 vol

Prices not yet synced

br

$0 vol

Prices not yet synced

bs

$0 vol

Prices not yet synced

bt

$0 vol

Prices not yet synced

bu

$0 vol

Prices not yet synced

bv

$0 vol

Prices not yet synced

bw

$0 vol

Prices not yet synced

bx

$0 vol

Prices not yet synced

by

$0 vol

Prices not yet synced

bz

$0 vol

Prices not yet synced

ca

$0 vol

Prices not yet synced

cb

$0 vol

Prices not yet synced

cc

$0 vol

Prices not yet synced

cd

$0 vol

Prices not yet synced

ce

$0 vol

Prices not yet synced

cf

$0 vol

Prices not yet synced

cg

$0 vol

Prices not yet synced

ch

$0 vol

Prices not yet synced

ci

$0 vol

Prices not yet synced

cj

$0 vol

Prices not yet synced

ck

$0 vol

Prices not yet synced

cl

$0 vol

Prices not yet synced

cm

$0 vol

Prices not yet synced

cn

$0 vol

Prices not yet synced

co

$0 vol

Prices not yet synced

cp

$0 vol

Prices not yet synced

cq

$0 vol

Prices not yet synced

cr

$0 vol

Prices not yet synced

cs

$0 vol

Prices not yet synced

ct

$0 vol

Prices not yet synced

cu

$0 vol

Prices not yet synced

cv

$0 vol

Prices not yet synced

cw

$0 vol

Prices not yet synced

cx

$0 vol

Prices not yet synced

cy

$0 vol

Prices not yet synced

cz

$0 vol

Prices not yet synced

Other

$0 vol

Prices not yet synced

Mohammad Pakpour

$0 vol

No—

100.0%

Yes—

0.0%

o

$0 vol

Prices not yet synced

p

$0 vol

Prices not yet synced

q

$0 vol

Prices not yet synced

r

$0 vol

Prices not yet synced

s

$0 vol

Prices not yet synced

t

$0 vol

Prices not yet synced

u

$0 vol

Prices not yet synced

v

$0 vol

Prices not yet synced

w

$0 vol

Prices not yet synced

x

$0 vol

Prices not yet synced

y

$0 vol

Prices not yet synced

z

$0 vol

Prices not yet synced

aa

$0 vol

Prices not yet synced

ab

$0 vol

Prices not yet synced

ac

$0 vol

Prices not yet synced

$0 vol

Prices not yet synced

ae

$0 vol

Prices not yet synced

af

$0 vol

Prices not yet synced

ag

$0 vol

Prices not yet synced

ah

$0 vol

Prices not yet synced

ai

$0 vol

Prices not yet synced

aj

$0 vol

Prices not yet synced

ak

$0 vol

Prices not yet synced

al

$0 vol

Prices not yet synced

am

$0 vol

Prices not yet synced

an

$0 vol

Prices not yet synced

ao

$0 vol

Prices not yet synced

ap

$0 vol

Prices not yet synced

How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the 24-hour change in percentage points (pp).