July 7
$1.9M volNo—
100.0%
Yes—
0.0%
Politics⏱ closes in 23d
Iran announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a memorandum of understanding ending the immediate conflict and establishing a 60-day framework for negotiating a final agreement. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Iranian government, or an authorized representative of the Iranian government, publicly and …
24h volume
$1.6M
Total volume
$3.3M
Liquidity
$113.2K
Markets
5
31. Juli 2026
IranTrumpPoliticsAgreementPeace DealGeopoliticsMiddle EastU.S. x Iran
📊Markets and probabilities
July 31
$795.1K volNo—
75.5%
Yes—
24.5%
June 30
$525.2K volNo—
100.0%
Yes—
0.0%
June 26
$83.6K volNo—
100.0%
Yes—
0.0%
August 15
$38.1K volNo—
65.5%
Yes—
34.5%
How to read
The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the 24-hour change in percentage points (pp).