0.5–1.0%
$15.9K volNo—
97.4%
Yes—
2.6%
Economy⏱ closes in 6mo
GDP growth in 2026
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted real GDP growth rate for the United States in 2026, as reported in the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) "Advance Estimate" release for Q4 of 2026, estimated to be released in January 2027. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this…
24h volume
$1.1K
Total volume
$45.1K
Liquidity
$21.5K
Markets
6
29. Jan. 2027
GDPEconomyEconomic Policy
📊Markets and probabilities
>2.5%
$14.2K volNo—
69.0%
Yes—
31.0%
2.0–2.5%
$5.5K volNo—
75.5%
Yes—
24.5%
<0.5%
$4.6K volNo—
94.8%
Yes—
5.2%
1.5–2.0%
$2.7K volNo—
89.9%
Yes—
10.1%
1.0–1.5%
$2.3K volNo—
91.5%
Yes—
8.5%
How to read
The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the 24-hour change in percentage points (pp).